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RE: [pct-l] Re: pct-l-digest V1 #278



I have lived in San Diego for over thirty years and have seen many El
Nino's come and go.  Some years we get a lot more rain /snow in So.
Calif., and other years its less then normal.  For the most part, the
weathermen, cannot tall what will happen.  I have heard that this El
Nino will be one of the strongest.  But does that mean that we will have
above normal rain/snow fall...who knows.  All this uncertainty makes it
very hard to plan for a thru-hike.  What I do know is that So. Calif.
never gets rain in Sept. and this year we had three tropical storms.
That's not a good sign.  

One option is to do the trail southbound.  El Nino will effect So.
Calif. most of all.  So, if it is looking bad, you might want to flip
the trail. 

As the winter progresses keep checking out
http://cdec.water.ca.gov/snow/current/snow/index.html.  It is a good
source on the amount of snow in the Sierra's, and that's what you are
really concerned with.  Remember that the snow is measured in inches of
water, not inches of snow.  Keep clicking around, you will find that
they take measurements at Crabtree Meadows, Upper Tyndall Creak,
Charlotte Lake, Bishop Pass, Tuolumne Meadows, and Sonora Pass.  All the
fun spots.
When my wife and I were planning are thru-hike, we decided to not try
the PCT in '95 around Dec. or Feb.  That year the Sierra's had a 200%
snow fall and I do not know of any northbounder that did the entire
trail.  Although, there was a group of southbounders that did complete
the trail.

What it all boils down to is continue planning for a trip, but be
willing to hold off a year or hike it southbound.

Tim and Ann
The Ravens  PCT '96


> -----Original Message-----
> From:	BetteinB@aol.com [SMTP:BetteinB@aol.com]
> Sent:	Wednesday, October 22, 1997 2:12 AM
> To:	pct-l@saffron.hack.net
> Subject:	[pct-l] Re:  pct-l-digest V1 #278
> 
> i've heard el nino pretty much wipes out the possibility of a through
> hike in
> 98 due to snow.  true?
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