[pct-l] Sierra Snow Entry Prediction

[dsaufley at sprynet.com (dsaufley@sprynet.com)]

Sly,

In the opinion of a self-acknowledged amateur, the actual damage from the rain this year is worse than '98 (or any year that I can remember since 1958 when we moved here).  

This morning at work we were talking about how Los Angeles is a mere two inches of rain away from the all time record.  But, the thing is, that measurement is taken in Los Angeles -- the mountains and foothills get significantly MORE rain than below.  Some southern Califiornia mountain areas have had OVER TEN FEET OF RAIN -- and we are just entering our traditional rainy season!  

The sheer volume of water, and the prolonged intensity with which it has come down, has been truly remarkable. Major highways and roads are closed out our way -- completely wiped out in places.   

I think Rafter Jack may have it right . . . 

-=Donna Saufley=-


-----Original Message-----
From: Slyatpct@aol.com
Sent: Mar 23, 2005 9:37 AM
To: Bighummel@aol.com, pct-l@backcountry.net
Subject: Re: [pct-l] Sierra Snow Entry Prediction

In a message dated 3/23/2005 12:05:59 PM Eastern Standard Time, 
Bighummel@aol.com writes:

> My new prediction?  Watch the snow survey sites and pray for a warm early 
> Spring.  Or, simply consider a SoBo hike.
> 

If I planned to hike the PCT northbound this year there's no way I'd wait 
another month and half to start SoBo.

Instead, I'd continue with my plans and at least try and make it as far as 
Kennedy Meadows and perhaps as far as Lone Pine via Trail or Cottonwood Pass.  
At that time if I felt it was beyond my abilities, I'd flip.  Finishing the 
trail in the High Sierra would be awesome.  Better than either border, IMO.

Ideally, I'd have a contingency plan already worked out to get to Manning 
Park or even Harts Pass to tag the border before heading south.

As it is now, is this year any worse than '95, '98 or some of the earlier 
years?

Sly
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