[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
[pct-l] To be early or not at Kennedy Meadows?
My guess is that you would have to leave now from Kennedy Meadows to have any
chance of beating the high water at some of the big crossings. Leaving, as I
suggest in a couple of weeks, unfortunately, will likely put you in the
middle of the high water runoff. In a month, maybe you will be on the
backside of the runoff, however, it might be just as bad or worse, depending
upon precipitation, temperatures, etc. between now and then.
As you can tell, leaving early from Kennedy Meadows carries some risks and is
basically a crap shoot that no late storms are going to significantly reverse
Over the last two weeks most of the Southern Sierra snow survey sites exhibit
meltoffs of about an inch per day! This is a lot and will put large amounts
of water running off, especially since snow densities are in the mid to high
The decision then is;
- Early (now or sooner) = less runoff, less mosquitos, fewer bears, potential
difficult pass crossings.
- June 1 = more runoff, more mosquitos, risk of bears, easier pass crossings
- June 15 = more runoff, massive mosquitos, risk of bears, easy pass
- July 1 = easy creek crossings, massive mosquitos, high risk of bears and
regulations, easy pass crossings and likely snow in the North Cascades
because you sat around Kennedy Meadows too long drinking down those Sierra
YMMV, IMHO, based upon highly scientific and detailed analysis of
questionably bogus information,