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Saddleback Update, 8/26/99


This message contains information on 

1) Saddleback EA comment deadline, 8/31/99

2) New information on the ATC Saddleback web page

3) Economic analysis of Alternative 2

1)  We are now in the last week before the end of the comment deadline
for the Saddleback EA.  The deadline is <bold>Tuesday, August 31,
1999.</bold>  If you haven't sent a letter to NPS and members of the
congressional delegation, PLEASE DO SO.  Many other Trail supporters
have written to the Park Service encouraging NPS to do all it can to
protect the Trail across Saddleback Mountain.  

Also, we have learned that property-rights advocates, including Chuck
Cushman, are putting on a big, last-minute push to get comments to NPS
in support of Alternative 3.  So please tell your friends, relatives,
fellow hikers, and other Trail supporters to review the EA (on ATC's
web site at http://www.atconf.org and send comments to NPS.  Our
preference is for folks to support either Alternative 1 or Alternative

2) New information on ATC's web site includes analysis of the
consequences of both Alternative 2 (preferred by ATC) and Alternative 3
(Saddleback's "donation offer").  This information should help you
understand the ramifications for the Trail of each option.

3) As part of ATC's review of the EA, we have put together the
following comparision of economic impact associated with the current
ski area and the projected ski expansion available under Alternative 2:

<bold>Measure of Expansion 		Current		Projected	Percentage Increase

</fontfamily>Potential			Ski Area	Expansion	Current to

</fontfamily>SAOT </bold>(skiers at one time):
	1,300		11,400		877<fontfamily><param>Times</param>


</bold></fontfamily><bold>Annual skier visits:</bold>
		33,250		146,000		440<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>Number of lifts:	</bold>
		5		14		280<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>Lift capacity (persons per hour)</bold>:
	3,790		24,700		650<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>Number of trails (all
abilities):</bold>	40		72		180<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Beginner/Novice: 	6
		14		233<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Intermediate:
		21		30		143<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Advanced/Expert: 	13
		28		215<fontfamily><param>Times</param>


</bold></fontfamily><bold>*Comfortable Carrying Capacity:</bold>1,300
		11,400 		877<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Beginner/Novice:	350		
3,330		951<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Intermediate:		730		4,020		575	

	Advanced/Expert:	220 		2,350		1,068<fontfamily><param>Times</param>


</bold></fontfamily><bold>Acreage of Trails </bold>(all
abilities):	96.5		357.7		371<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Beginner/Novice:	18.4 		78.7		428

	Intermediate:		63.1 		58.2		251<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Advanced/Expert:	25.0		120.8		483<fontfamily><param>Times</param>


</bold></fontfamily><bold>**Skier-ability Profile</bold> (percentage of
skiable acreage by skier ability):<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Beginner/Novice:	19 % 	35

</fontfamily>	Intermediate:		55 %	41 %<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>	Advanced/Expert:	26 %	24


</bold></fontfamily><bold>Projected Visitor Expenditures</bold> (both
at the ski area and in Franklin

</fontfamily>			$4 million	$38.27
million		968<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>Jobs Created</bold> (both at the ski area and in
Franklin County):	<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>			21 FTEs 	469
FTEs		2,233<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>*</bold> As noted in the EA on page 4-26, the total
CCC for Alternative 2 "includes an additional 1,700 CCC that would be
accommodated by upgrading existing ski lifts to industry standards." 
However, the additional CCC is not distributed by skier ability in
Table 4.2.7 or above.  This also explains why the CCC figures shown by
skier ability do not add up to the total CCC.  Consequently, we can
assume that percentage increases in CCC by skier ability level would be
even higher than indicated above.<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>**</bold>Similar to Stratton, Sugarbush, Okemo,
Mount Snow (VT); Bretton Woods (NH)<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><bold>Size Compared to Other Ski Areas</bold>:  Under
Alternative 2, Saddleback could expand in size to roughly between
Sugarloaf and Sunday River and would move from 7th ranked to 2nd ranked
among ski areas noted.<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><underline>Ski Area</underline>		<underline>No. of
Trails</underline>	<underline>No. of Acres</underline>	<underline>Lift
Capacity</underline>	<underline>Rank</underline><fontfamily><param>Times</param>

River		---		457		30,000		1<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

(expanded)	73		357		24,700		2<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>Sugarloaf		---		283		17,000		3<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>Attitash			---		280		12,026		4<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>Wildcat		20		---		8,500		5<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>Cranmore		---		190		---		6<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily><underline>Shawnee		31		
- ---		5,600		7</underline><fontfamily><param>Times</param>

(existing)	41		96		3,790<fontfamily><param>Times</param>

</fontfamily>Clearly, the economic opportunity under Alternative 2 is
substantial.  While it would not enable the ski-area owner to pursue a
maximum build-out of the mountain for skiing, it would enable the ski
area to grow to <italic>half-again the size of the current Sugarloaf
ski area</italic> in a way that that preserves the fundamental
character of the Trail experience across Saddleback Mountain.  
Alternative 2 offers a true balance between the needs of the Trail ,
the ski area, and the community.

Thanks for your continued interest in the Saddleback issue.  If you
have any questions, feel free to contact me at saddleback@atconf.org.



Kevin A. Peterson

New England Regional Representative

Appalachian Trail Conference

18 On the Common, Unit #7

Lyme, NH  03768-0312

Phone:  (603) 795-4935

Fax:  (603) 795-4936

E-mail <<kpeterson@atconf.org>

Visit ATC's Web site at <<http://www.atconf.org>

Appalachian Trail Conference
799 Washington Street
Harpers Ferry WV 25425

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