[at-l] Re: Starting a Thru

[charles at uswnet.com (Charles Copeland)]

I agree - given the sheer number of hikers that start at Springer, its hard 
to do much more than estimate.  I think the numbers get better as the hiker 
pass by Walisi-Yi (I guess its Mountain Crossings now), NOC, and GSMNP.

Charles


----- Original Message ----- 
From: "David Hicks" <daveh@psknet.com>
To: <at-l@backcountry.net>
Sent: Monday, August 08, 2005 10:41 PM
Subject: Re: [at-l] Re: Starting a Thru


> I'm sure that the ups and downs of the economy is one of the drivers of 
> the
> ebb and flow of the number of hikers.  Ditto, publicity.
>
> Even unscientific sampling supports the that the ebb and flow exist.  Each
> year a number of waypoints report the increases and decreases in hikers 
> whom
> they see.  However, no one, who I know of, claims to have seen/counted 
> every
> hiker who passed their way.
>
> To be sure the ATC knows who claims to have completed.
>
> What I am questioning is the actual starts and completed numbers of any 
> given
> year and the often reported ratio of these numbers.
>
> As I figure, by Baxter's count process, they have me starting as a SOBO
> Thruhiker when that was not my intention and, conversely, completing two 
> NOBO
> Thrus, which I never did.
>
> I have a suspicion that the NOBO "starts" are under-counted and the NOBO
> "completions" are over-counted.
>
> I also suspect the SOBO starts are over reported, given the control at 
> Baxter,
> the cost issue, and the records, which I think they keep.
>
> Chainsaw
>
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "Charles Copeland" <charles@uswnet.com>
> To: <at-l@backcountry.net>
> Sent: Monday, August 08, 2005 9:59 PM
> Subject: [at-l] Re: Starting a Thru
>
>
>>>
> 2000 was also the year of the dot-com bust - lots and lots of people in my
> industry had some unexpected *spare* time...
>
> SNIP
> <<
>
>
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