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[at-l] Follow Through On Global Warming (OT)
If you base the time that the Earth has been around on human's 24-hour time clock...humans make their appearance on Earth at 5 minutes 'til midnight. It may sound very pessimistic, but in the general scheme of things we don't matter that much.
The Dawg, who knows one person on the list that will classify this statement alongside the
Martin Luther King, Jr. hypothesis. An IQ of 140 will keep you single.
----- Original Message -----
From: Bob C.
To: Steve Landis
Cc: AT-L
Sent: Tuesday, February 24, 2004 10:28 PM
Subject: Re[2]: [at-l] Follow Through On Global Warming (OT)
here's what Fortune says in part. It doesn't sound to me like a simple war game
scenario.
"Global warming, rather than causing gradual, centuries-spanning change, may be
pushing the climate to a tipping point. Growing evidence suggests the
ocean-atmosphere system that controls the world's climate can lurch from one
state to another in less than a decade-like a canoe that's gradually tilted
until suddenly it flips over. Scientists don't know how close the system is to a
critical threshold. But abrupt climate change may well occur in the
not-too-distant future. If it does, the need to rapidly adapt may overwhelm many
societies-thereby upsetting the geopolitical balance of power.
"Though triggered by warming, such change would probably cause cooling in the
Northern Hemisphere, leading to longer, harsher winters in much of the U.S. and
Europe. Worse, it would cause massive droughts, turning farmland to dust bowls
and forests to ashes. Picture last fall's California wildfires as a regular
thing. Or imagine similar disasters destabilizing nuclear powers such as
Pakistan or Russia-it's easy to see why the Pentagon has become interested in
abrupt climate change.
"Climate researchers began getting seriously concerned about it a decade ago,
after studying temperature indicators embedded in ancient layers of Arctic ice.
The data show that a number of dramatic shifts in average temperature took place
in the past with shocking speed-in some cases, just a few years.
"The case for angst was buttressed by a theory regarded as the most likely
explanation for the abrupt changes. The eastern U.S. and northern Europe, it
seems, are warmed by a huge Atlantic Ocean current that flows north from the
tropics-that's why Britain, at Labrador's latitude, is relatively temperate.
Pumping out warm, moist air, this "great conveyor" current gets cooler and
denser as it moves north. That causes the current to sink in the North Atlantic,
where it heads south again in the ocean depths. The sinking process draws more
water from the south, keeping the roughly circular current on the go.
"But when the climate warms, according to the theory, fresh water from melting
Arctic glaciers flows into the North Atlantic, lowering the current's
salinity-and its density and tendency to sink. A warmer climate also increases
rainfall and runoff into the current, further lowering its saltiness. As a
result, the conveyor loses its main motive force and can rapidly collapse,
turning off the huge heat pump and altering the climate over much of the
Northern Hemisphere.
"Scientists aren't sure what caused the warming that triggered such collapses in
the remote past. (Clearly it wasn't humans and their factories.) But the data
from Arctic ice and other sources suggest the atmospheric changes that preceded
earlier collapses were dismayingly similar to today's global warming. As the Ice
Age began drawing to a close about 13,000 years ago, for example, temperatures
in Greenland rose to levels near those of recent decades. Then they abruptly
plunged as the conveyor apparently shut down, ushering in the "Younger Dryas"
period, a 1,300-year reversion to ice-age conditions. (A dryas is an Arctic
flower that flourished in Europe at the time.)...."
Weary
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