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[at-l] Atlantic Thermo Cycle And Global Warming
- Subject: [at-l] Atlantic Thermo Cycle And Global Warming
- From: RoksnRoots at aol.com (RoksnRoots@aol.com)
- Date: Wed Jan 28 15:01:21 2004
From the NY Times:
" ~ ~ Normally, water circulates in the North Atlantic like this:
Cold, salty water at the top sinks; that sinking water acts as a pump, pulling
warm Gulf Stream water north and thus moderating winter weather. But now,
fresh water from the thawing ice and heavier rain is accumulating near the
ocean's surface; it's not sinking as quickly. (The tropics are faced with the
opposite phenomenon. According to Dr Ruth Curry and her colleagues at the Woods Hole
Oceanographic Institution, the tropical Atlantic is becoming saltier; as
warming increases, so does evaporation, which leaves behind salt.) The
"freshening" in the North Atlantic may be contributing to a high-pressure system that is
accelerating trans-Atlantic winds and deflecting the jet stream - changes that
may be driving frigid fronts down the Eastern Seaboard. The ice-core records
demonstrate that the North Atlantic can freshen to a point where the deep
water pump fails, warm water stops coming north, and the northern ocean suddenly
freezes, as it did in the last Ice-Age. No one can say if that is what will
happen next. But since the 1950's, the best documented deep-water pump, between
Iceland and Scotland, has slowed 20 percent.
Why now? After all, the planet's previous periods of global warming
resulted from changes in the earth's tilt towards the sun, and recent
calculations of these cycles indicate that our hospitable climate was not due to have
ended any time soon. But because of the warming brought by the buildup of carbon
dioxide, mainly from the burning of fossil fuels, the equations have changed.
We are entering uncharted waters. It's something for New Yorkers to ponder as
they bundle up. "