[at-l] La Nina So Far

[RoksnRoots@aol.com (RoksnRoots@aol.com)]

   As far as I can tell, the La Nina is trending on the wet side so far. This 
is not true for all regions though. The good news is that the fear of a few 
months back has been relieved by weekly rains to the drought stricken NE. AT 
springs should be running normally according to their regular seasonal flows. 
The worst case scenario has not come to be for 2002 hikers so far.

    Bailing out the AT has been a hot spot in the Midwest between Missouri 
and Indiana were descending Canadian fronts have stalled against humid Gulf 
air causing a frontal border which forms Low pressure systems that ride up 
towards the east along it. This has resulted in floods for the Midwest and 
parts of the Appalachians. The same type of system that caused some heavy 
rains and a 1/2 inch average in the NE this monday will happen again later 
this week bringing more rain. As in recent years, a pattern seems to be set 
up and holding. This one is wet so far.

   A few months ago the NY reservoirs were at 49%. Now they are 62%. Long 
term deficit is still 18 inches...

    A sudden stop in this pattern could still produce a hike affecting 
drought this summer. Keep your fingers crossed. 

    In south Florida we are in a drought and have experienced above average 
temperatures. We have already matched our 96* high from last summer. The Gulf 
is at 86* and almost 10* warmer than average. We could have a bad hurricane 
year that could bode well for drought relief up north...


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